Source Data for map: Environmental
Resources Research Institute at The Pennsylvania State University.
The tables below give GWLF's estimates of groundwater flow for Spring Creek and its tributaries for the past 20 years based on observed weather data and predictions for the next 20 years based on simulated weather data.
| Location | Past 20 Years (MGD) | Next 20 Years (MGD) |
| Milesburg | 129 | 117 |
| Near Axeman | 79 | 72 |
| Houserville | 47 | 42 |
| Oak Hall | 11 | 10 |
| Location | Past 20 Years (MGD) | Next 20 Years (MGD) |
| Logan Branch | 19 | 17 |
| Buffalo Run | 21 | 23 |
| Cedar Run | 14 | 13 |
| Slab Cabin Run | 18 | 16 |
Remember from the runoff from the local official web page that predicted
total runoff, and consequently the groundwater runoff, was too low for
Logan Branch and too high for Spring Creek at Axeman, Houserville, and
Buffalo Run, Cedar Run, and Slab Cabin Run. This discrepancy was
caused by the inability of GWLF to account for complex groundwater geology
of the Spring Creek Watershed. However, by the time Spring Creek
reaches Milesburg, all of the "diverted" groundwater flow has become stream
flow. The table below compares the measured water balance at Milesburg
with the water balance predicted by GWLF.
| Measured (Inches) | Predicted (Inches) | |
| Precipitation | 39.1 | 39.0 |
| Evapotranspiration | 19.6 | 19.8 |
| Total Runoff | 19.5 | 20.1 |
| Direct Runoff | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Baseflow | 17.1 | 17.3 |
Main Data Source: Larry E. Taylor, Water Budget for the Spring Creek Basin,Susquehanna River Basin Commission, 1997.
Notice the close agreement between measured and predicted water balance.
This seems to indicate that GWLF does an adequate job of predicting the
water cycle, when all groundwater for the basin of study returns to the
surface at Milesburg.
Click the button below to load the Groundwater Flow Calculator.
Source Data for map: Environmental
Resources Research Institute at The Pennsylvania State University.
The output from the calculator reflects the mean annual change in the groundwater flow caused by a particular set of policies. After selecting a set of policies, before clicking calculate, be sure to select whether to display the change as a percentage or in one of the 8 categories listed in the table below.
Percent Change Categories
| Category | Percent Change Range |
| Large Decrease | X<-50 |
| Medium Decrease | -50<=X<-25 |
| Slight Decrease | -25<=X<-10 |
| No Change | -10<=X<+10 |
| Slight Increase | +10<=X<+25 |
| Medium Increase | +25<=X<+50 |
| Large Increase | +50<=X<+100 |
| Very Large Increase | +100<=X |
Experiment with policies and see how each kind of policy affects the groundwater flow. The relationships that were shown in the researcher perspective still hold for these calculator. Like surface runoff, the only policies that affect groundwater flow are those policies which affect land cover or soil. Consequently, the only policies which affect groundwater flow are Land Use policies. Notice that this effect is small, like with surface runoff. Most of the changes percentages fall within the No Change category.
As mentioned on the runoff from the local official perspective web page, GWLF was also used to model changes in total runoff caused by policy change. No change were found to occur to the mean annual total runoff. On an annual basis, total runoff will not change, because the evapotranspiration in each subwatershed is not significantly impacted by the land use change caused by the policies.
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Questions or Problems? Let me know at parson@andassoc.com.